The Dirty Laundry of Consensus
From: “Michael E. Mann”
To: Tim Osborn
Subject: Re: reconstruction errors
Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:18:24 -0400 Tim, Attached are the calibration residual series for experiments based on available networks back to: AD 1000 AD 1400 AD 1600 I can’t find the one for the network back to 1820! But basically, you’ll see that the residuals are pretty red for the first 2 cases, and then not significantly red for the 3rd case—its even a bit better for the AD 1700 and 1820 cases, but I can’t seem to dig them up. In any case, the incremental changes are modest after 1600—its pretty clear that key predictors drop out before AD 1600, hence the redness of the residuals, and the notably larger uncertainties farther back… You only want to look at the first column (year) and second column (residual) of the files. I can’t even remember what the other columns are! Let me know if that helps. Thanks, mike p.s. I know I probably don’t need to mention this, but just to insure absolutely clarify on this, I’m providing these for your own personal use, since you’re a trusted colleague. So please don’t pass this along to others without checking w/ me first. This is the sort of “dirty laundry” one doesn’t want to fall into the hands of those who might potentially try to distort things… the hadley papers 1059664704.txt
Ooopsie.
November 20th, 2009 at 3:20 am
Everyone saw the hand ball except the ref, apparently.
November 20th, 2009 at 9:03 am
Oh hell. This kind of goodness lands on the Net on a day when I have 14 machines in the shop to work on. Why couldn’t it have happened during a slow week so I could watch the panic unfolding? No fair!
November 20th, 2009 at 10:49 am
How about this e-mail?
“Hey Mike, what about the Club Med ruins they just found in west Greenland?”
“Dave, forget that ever happened. We’re calling it a cowshed.”
“Wouldn’t seal factory be better?”
“How about crematorium?”
November 20th, 2009 at 10:58 am
Came across this via SDA ( http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/archives/012684.html ):
“In an exclusive interview with Investigate magazine’s
TGIF Edition, Jones confirms his organization
has been hacked, and the data flying all over the
internet appears to have come from his organisation.
“It was a hacker. We were aware of this about
three or four days ago that someone had hacked
into our system and taken and copied loads of data
files and emails.”
“Have you alerted police?”
“Not yet. We were not aware of what had been
taken.”
Jones says he was first tipped off to the security
breach by colleagues at the website RealClimate.
“Real Climate were given information, but took
it down off their site and told me they would send
it across to me. They didn’t do that. I only found out
it had been released five minutes ago.” ”
Read the rest here: http://www.investigatemagazine.com/australia/latestissue.pdf