Nov

28

Polls…

November 28, 2005 |

Greg Staples for whom I have a good deal of time has been following assorted polls…Ekos, Decima, Ipsos-Reid. Go over and scroll down for the info.

Polls are interesting in that they can provide a snapshot of what was happening three days before they were published and, in series, they can hint at trend. What they cannot really measure is the degree of voter engagement with the issues, the leaders and the election itself.

My sense is that the polls taken before December 20th will be largely worthless as indicators of the outcome of an election held either the 16th or the 20th of January. The only polls which will really have much value - other than as a convenient hook to hang MSM’s narrative of the day - will be the tracking polls which commence January 2.

For me this is an odd election: I detest the Liberal orthodoxy but not quite so much as I despise the exclusionary bias of the socons in the CPC and the shrill “me tooism”which seems to be directed at the ignoble goal of gentling the easily startled Ontario voter.

I do not for an instant believe that the election of the CPC will change or improve anything in Canada and, frankly, given their performance on SSM, support for the Liberal budgets and generally mealy mouthed take on tax cuts, decentralization, alternative healthcare, immigration and a host of other issues it is not at all clear to me why voting Tory could be justified.

It is welcome to see the Tories might actually propose something that is pro-family without being anti-gay in the form of income splitting for stay at home mums; but that should have been a theme a year ago, not just a hint a few days before an election call.

Current polling suggests Canadians want a change - it is not obvious is that voting Tory will give them one.


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